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Three categories of AI risk, and why extinction is not yet evidenced

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Professor Nick Jennings outlines three dramatic classes of AI risk — loss of human control, emergent superintelligence and concentration of power — and argues that moving from possibility to probability requires a long chain of assumptions that has not yet occurred. He calls for built-in safety, oversight and clearer justification from developers continuing frontier work.

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Jennings identifies loss of control, superintelligence and concentration of power as the main dramatic scenarios; he cautions that human extinction would require every step of a long chain of events to occur — from vastly greater capabilities to institutional and technical failures — none of which have yet happened, and urges systematic safety-by-design, monitoring and accountability from developers.

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